YEARLY HIGH
6.5880 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.6106 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1660 KES

2012 SCR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 12, valuing the pair at 6.5880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 5.6106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9774 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2044 to the December average rate of 6.5669, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.5880 was down 21.91% compared to the 2011 peak of 8.4365, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,940 KES
2011 Average 35,663 KES
Yearly Trough Low 28,053 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,887.16 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.6444
5.7150
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9615, compared to 6.3705 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4090 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9615
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3705

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.5463 KES (High: 6.4886 / Low: 5.9423). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0609 KES (High: 6.5880 / Low: 6.5271).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5463
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0609

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2751 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2751

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 6.5669) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.4856), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0813 (+1.25%).

2012 Avg (December) 6.5669
2011 Avg (December) 6.4856

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4886 5.9423 6.2044
February 6.0315 5.7860 5.9292
March 6.0885 5.7458 5.8801
April 6.0318 5.7921 5.9271
May 6.0642 5.7877 5.9598
June 6.0181 5.7172 5.8683
July 5.9994 5.6106 5.7924
August 6.4693 5.9810 6.3427
September 6.5468 6.4385 6.5051
October 6.5344 6.4470 6.4962
November 6.5456 6.4703 6.5193
December 6.5880 6.5271 6.5669