YEARLY HIGH
8.0149 KES
YEARLY LOW
7.1039 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6515 KES

2016 SCR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 8.0149. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 7.1039.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9109 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8271 to the December average rate of 7.6322, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.0149 was down 4.87% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.4250, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,074 KES
2015 Average 36,996 KES
Yearly Trough Low 35,520 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,554.66 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.8560
7.5096
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6513, compared to 7.6517 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6513
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6517

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.8245 KES (High: 7.9284 / Low: 7.1039). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1498 KES (High: 7.7253 / Low: 7.5755).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.8245
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1498

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2099 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2099

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 7.7268) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.3880), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3387 (+4.59%).

2016 Avg (June) 7.7268
2015 Avg (June) 7.3880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9845 7.5049 7.8271
February 7.9284 7.1039 7.6173
March 7.8430 7.4736 7.6353
April 7.9213 7.1763 7.5385
May 7.7298 7.2726 7.5628
June 8.0149 7.5598 7.7268
July 7.9458 7.5187 7.6999
August 7.7600 7.5294 7.6615
September 7.7253 7.5755 7.6410
October 7.7656 7.5681 7.6488
November 7.7341 7.5382 7.6268
December 7.7733 7.5525 7.6322