YEARLY HIGH
1.1413 LSL
YEARLY LOW
0.8389 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9713 LSL

2018 SCR to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 1.1413. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 0.8389.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3024 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8760 to the December average rate of 1.0430, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.1413 was up 8.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0530, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,706 LSL
2017 Average 4,900 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 4,195 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,511.80 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1015
0.8480
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9038, compared to 1.0387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1349 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1583 LSL (High: 1.1413 / Low: 0.9830). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0481 LSL (High: 0.8900 / Low: 0.8420).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1583
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0481

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0325 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0325

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.0804) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9651), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1153 (+11.95%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.0804
2017 Avg (September) 0.9651

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9058 0.8406 0.8760
February 0.9089 0.8389 0.8694
March 0.8900 0.8420 0.8691
April 0.9266 0.8622 0.8977
May 0.9471 0.8752 0.9296
June 1.0206 0.9348 0.9809
July 1.0229 0.9645 0.9900
August 1.0741 0.9730 1.0220
September 1.1413 0.9830 1.0804
October 1.0938 1.0314 1.0647
November 1.0609 1.0039 1.0322
December 1.0672 1.0014 1.0430