YEARLY HIGH
4.4788 MKD
YEARLY LOW
3.8133 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1948 MKD

2016 SCR to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 4.4788. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 3.8133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6655 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3337 to the December average rate of 4.3614, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4788 was down 5.51% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.7401, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,394 MKD
2015 Average 20,854 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 19,066 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,327.74 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.3923
4.0217
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1625, compared to 4.2270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0645 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1625
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.4999 MKD (High: 4.3132 / Low: 3.8133). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1044 MKD (High: 4.2012 / Low: 4.0967).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4999
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1901 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1901

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.3614) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4213), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0598 (-1.35%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.3614
2015 Avg (December) 4.4213

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4136 4.1509 4.3337
February 4.3132 3.8133 4.1436
March 4.2653 3.9946 4.1633
April 4.2889 3.8724 4.0526
May 4.2469 3.9129 4.0980
June 4.4038 4.0598 4.1838
July 4.3662 4.1223 4.2241
August 4.2490 4.0630 4.1510
September 4.2012 4.0967 4.1457
October 4.2981 4.1079 4.2075
November 4.3995 4.1344 4.2724
December 4.4788 4.2705 4.3614