YEARLY HIGH
4.4250 MKD
YEARLY LOW
3.9096 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0185 MKD

2019 SCR to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 4.4250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 3.9096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5154 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9539 to the December average rate of 4.0403, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.4250 was up 10.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.0042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,125 MKD
2018 Average 19,159 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 19,548 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,576.85 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.0896
3.9416
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9850, compared to 4.0520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0669 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9850
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.4549 MKD (High: 4.4250 / Low: 3.9701). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0433 MKD (High: 4.0469 / Low: 4.0036).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4549
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0433

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0381 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0381

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 4.0694) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.9278), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1415 (+3.60%).

2019 Avg (August) 4.0694
2018 Avg (August) 3.9278

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9692 3.9249 3.9539
February 4.0065 3.9171 3.9678
March 4.0118 3.9116 3.9743
April 4.0395 3.9563 3.9992
May 4.0469 4.0036 4.0266
June 4.0418 3.9539 3.9885
July 4.0390 3.9096 3.9999
August 4.4250 3.9701 4.0694
September 4.1198 4.0369 4.0773
October 4.1075 4.0195 4.0582
November 4.2696 3.9678 4.0669
December 4.0788 4.0026 4.0403