2019 SCR to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

729.9453 UZS

YEARLY LOW

512.9317 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

645.2571 UZS

2019 SCR to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 4, valuing the pair at 729.9453. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 512.9317.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 217.0135 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 612.1186 to the December average rate of 694.8437, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 729.9453 was up 18.26% compared to the 2018 peak of 617.2348, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,649,726 UZS

2018 Average 2,964,248 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 2,564,659 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,085,067.62 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

703.4123

600.5899

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 615.5273, compared to 674.9869 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 59.4596 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 615.5273

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 674.9869

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 101.4212 UZS (High: 614.3529 / Low: 512.9317). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2648 UZS (High: 696.0843 / Low: 693.8195).

March Spread (Volatile) ±101.4212

December Spread (Stable) ±2.2648

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 4.7219 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.7219

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 692.9912) against the same month in 2018 (average: 605.2723), the exchange rate shifted by +87.7189 (+14.49%).

2019 Avg (November) 692.9912

2018 Avg (November) 605.2723

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	615.3834	610.1430	612.1186
February	615.3692	609.0071	613.8804
March	614.3529	512.9317	609.1585
April	619.8564	606.4382	616.1114
May	621.4786	616.5721	618.3870
June	626.9191	618.9353	623.5082
July	633.9470	617.0239	628.6200
August	701.6258	621.3416	658.6415
September	690.7591	682.7265	686.6073
October	690.0615	686.2405	688.2179
November	729.9453	675.0466	692.9912
December	696.0843	693.8195	694.8437