2012 SCR to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.1555 VUV

YEARLY LOW

6.0605 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.6626 VUV

2012 SCR to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 7.1555. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 6.0605.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0950 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6391 to the December average rate of 6.9471, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.1555 was down 8.50% compared to the 2011 peak of 7.8201, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,778 VUV

2011 Average 36,591 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 30,302 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,475.07 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.0747

6.2156

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4713, compared to 6.8540 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3828 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4713

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8540

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.6503 VUV (High: 7.0120 / Low: 6.3617). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0961 VUV (High: 6.9905 / Low: 6.8943).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6503

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0961

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2831 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2831

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 7.0031) against the same month in 2011 (average: 7.3128), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3097 (-4.24%).

2012 Avg (September) 7.0031

2011 Avg (September) 7.3128

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	7.0120	6.3617	6.6391
February	6.4692	6.1918	6.3561
March	6.4718	6.2462	6.3324
April	6.5819	6.2462	6.4375
May	6.7894	6.3666	6.5736
June	6.7907	6.2709	6.4888
July	6.6407	6.0605	6.2872
August	7.0975	6.5776	6.9136
September	7.1555	6.8897	7.0031
October	7.0476	6.8887	6.9839
November	7.1139	6.9307	6.9893
December	6.9905	6.8943	6.9471