YEARLY HIGH
8.1860 VUV
YEARLY LOW
7.3576 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9252 VUV

2018 SCR to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 8.1860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 7.3576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8284 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5650 to the December average rate of 8.1056, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.1860 was down 2.64% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.4076, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,930 VUV
2017 Average 39,374 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 36,788 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,141.88 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.1922
7.5080
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8005, compared to 8.0500 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2495 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8005
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0500

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.5010 VUV (High: 7.8586 / Low: 7.3576). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0182 VUV (High: 7.9905 / Low: 7.9723).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.5010
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0182

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0348 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0348

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 8.1351) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.7066), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4285 (+5.56%).

2018 Avg (October) 8.1351
2017 Avg (October) 7.7066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.7811 7.3596 7.5650
February 7.8586 7.3576 7.7098
March 7.9019 7.4294 7.7289
April 7.9298 7.6245 7.8574
May 8.0989 7.6293 7.9825
June 8.0678 7.8762 7.9591
July 8.0701 7.9611 8.0128
August 7.9905 7.9723 7.9833
September 7.9847 7.5596 7.9485
October 8.1860 7.9746 8.1351
November 8.1693 8.0575 8.1143
December 8.1541 7.9650 8.1056