YEARLY HIGH
1596.9971 IDR
YEARLY LOW
1481.6432 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1521.5210 IDR

2016 SVC to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SVC to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1596.9971. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 1481.6432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 115.3539 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1585.8378 to the December average rate of 1533.1549, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1596.9971 was down 5.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 1681.2026, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,984,986 IDR
2015 Average 7,656,005 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 7,408,216 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 576,769.66 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1595.4492
1480.1124
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1534.6993, compared to 1508.3426 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 26.3567 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1534.6993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1508.3426

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 59.7035 IDR (High: 1552.1231 / Low: 1492.4196). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.7083 IDR (High: 1511.9870 / Low: 1499.2787).

November Spread (Volatile) ±59.7035
April Spread (Stable) ±12.7083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 39.9281 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -39.9281

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1585.8378) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1435.1880), the exchange rate shifted by +150.6498 (+10.50%).

2016 Avg (January) 1585.8378
2015 Avg (January) 1435.1880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1596.9971 1569.5276 1585.8378
February 1575.0524 1527.6068 1546.4267
March 1525.7306 1491.2134 1506.4987
April 1511.9870 1499.2787 1506.3353
May 1559.4538 1502.2563 1535.5040
June 1560.9568 1507.1577 1527.5933
July 1506.6810 1491.1235 1499.7434
August 1518.0440 1496.3865 1504.5091
September 1519.4310 1481.6432 1500.4890
October 1498.0111 1483.9815 1489.7238
November 1552.1231 1492.4196 1522.4355
December 1553.6533 1514.5710 1533.1549