YEARLY HIGH
1750.7661 IDR
YEARLY LOW
1521.3198 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1618.8884 IDR

2018 SVC to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 1750.7661. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 1521.3198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 229.4463 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1533.0103 to the December average rate of 1659.1907, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1750.7661 was up 12.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 1556.3409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,753,830 IDR
2017 Average 7,647,427 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 7,606,599 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,147,231.26 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1756.6742
1512.6772
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1572.8931, compared to 1664.8837 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 91.9907 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1572.8931
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1664.8837

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 91.9530 IDR (High: 1729.2601 / Low: 1637.3071). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.5555 IDR (High: 1648.8200 / Low: 1642.2644).

November Spread (Volatile) ±91.9530
September Spread (Stable) ±6.5555

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 59.0148 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -59.0148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 1736.3411) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1544.4042), the exchange rate shifted by +191.9369 (+12.43%).

2018 Avg (October) 1736.3411
2017 Avg (October) 1544.4042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1553.4230 1521.3198 1533.0103
February 1568.1530 1533.3145 1551.9358
March 1578.4567 1568.4967 1572.8391
April 1586.2974 1571.4614 1577.5812
May 1620.0758 1587.0535 1604.0424
June 1625.8181 1580.9110 1597.9496
July 1638.6761 1624.9508 1631.4040
August 1645.2020 1633.3896 1638.8045
September 1648.8200 1642.2644 1646.2359
October 1750.7661 1666.8262 1736.3411
November 1729.2601 1637.3071 1677.3263
December 1671.3385 1631.4866 1659.1907