YEARLY HIGH
15.3161 DJF
YEARLY LOW
11.4859 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.5252 DJF

2018 SZL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SZL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 15.3161. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 11.4859.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8302 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.6529 to the December average rate of 12.5082, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.3161 was up 5.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.5257, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,581 DJF
2017 Average 67,222 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 57,430 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,151.05 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.2854
11.7935
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.4712, compared to 12.5791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8921 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.4712
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.5791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.2844 DJF (High: 13.4418 / Low: 12.1574). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4679 DJF (High: 15.1871 / Low: 14.7192).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.2844
March Spread (Stable) ±0.4679

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7296 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 14.9944) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.5501), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4444 (+10.66%).

2018 Avg (February) 14.9944
2017 Avg (February) 13.5501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.0417 14.2803 14.6529
February 15.3161 14.5781 14.9944
March 15.1871 14.7192 14.9455
April 14.9831 14.2154 14.6320
May 14.5084 13.9501 14.1661
June 14.1490 12.8942 13.4365
July 13.5826 12.8579 13.2728
August 13.4418 12.1574 12.7144
September 12.6035 11.4859 12.0845
October 12.5918 11.9529 12.2611
November 12.9913 12.2413 12.6337
December 13.0307 12.2271 12.5082