YEARLY HIGH
5.0233 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.1599 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5567 RUB

2016 SZL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SZL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 5.0233. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 30, dropping to 4.1599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8635 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7039 to the December average rate of 4.4706, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.0233 was down 16.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.0018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,117 RUB
2015 Average 24,017 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 20,799 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,317.36 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.9439
4.2532
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5534, compared to 4.5599 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5534
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5599

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.4411 RUB (High: 4.6009 / Low: 4.1599). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1929 RUB (High: 4.4224 / Low: 4.2294).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4411
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1929

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3387 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3387

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 4.8863) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5482), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6619 (-11.93%).

2016 Avg (February) 4.8863
2015 Avg (February) 5.5482

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9394 4.5592 4.7039
February 5.0233 4.7178 4.8863
March 4.7041 4.4204 4.5476
April 4.6575 4.4644 4.5569
May 4.6009 4.1599 4.3107
June 4.4224 4.2294 4.3152
July 4.7395 4.3449 4.4708
August 4.8610 4.5156 4.7212
September 4.7145 4.4788 4.5824
October 4.6579 4.4045 4.4954
November 4.8026 4.4724 4.6190
December 4.6878 4.3446 4.4706