YEARLY HIGH
36.7957 UGX
YEARLY LOW
32.9508 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.6542 UGX

2021 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 36.7957. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 16, dropping to 32.9508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8449 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.3655 to the December average rate of 33.2600, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 36.7957 was down 13.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 42.3341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 183,978 UGX
2020 Average 171,429 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 164,754 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,224.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

36.6807
32.8988
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.4201, compared to 33.8882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.4201
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.8882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 1.0519 UGX (High: 34.7310 / Low: 33.6791). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2815 UGX (High: 33.3689 / Low: 33.0874).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0519
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8883 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8883

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 36.3655) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.4656), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8999 (+8.67%).

2021 Avg (January) 36.3655
2020 Avg (January) 33.4656

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.7957 36.0016 36.3655
February 36.2473 35.4812 35.8633
March 35.7407 34.8131 35.3318
April 35.4224 34.9257 35.1938
May 35.3682 34.6869 35.0531
June 35.2138 34.3210 34.7132
July 34.6214 34.0938 34.3303
August 34.7569 33.8894 34.2427
September 34.4044 33.8739 34.1801
October 34.7310 33.6791 34.1023
November 33.5640 32.9508 33.2140
December 33.3689 33.0874 33.2600