2021 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

36.7957 UGX

YEARLY LOW

32.9508 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.6542 UGX

2021 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 36.7957. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 16, dropping to 32.9508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8449 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.3655 to the December average rate of 33.2600, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 36.7957 was down 13.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 42.3341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 183,978 UGX

2020 Average 171,429 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 164,754 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,224.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

36.6807

32.8988

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.4201, compared to 33.8882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.4201

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.8882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 1.0519 UGX (High: 34.7310 / Low: 33.6791). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2815 UGX (High: 33.3689 / Low: 33.0874).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0519

December Spread (Stable) ±0.2815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8883 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8883

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 36.3655) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.4656), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8999 (+8.67%).

2021 Avg (January) 36.3655

2020 Avg (January) 33.4656

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	36.7957	36.0016	36.3655
February	36.2473	35.4812	35.8633
March	35.7407	34.8131	35.3318
April	35.4224	34.9257	35.1938
May	35.3682	34.6869	35.0531
June	35.2138	34.3210	34.7132
July	34.6214	34.0938	34.3303
August	34.7569	33.8894	34.2427
September	34.4044	33.8739	34.1801
October	34.7310	33.6791	34.1023
November	33.5640	32.9508	33.2140
December	33.3689	33.0874	33.2600