2012 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

25.4074 UGX

YEARLY LOW

21.7816 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

23.1678 UGX

2012 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 25.4074. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 21.7816.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6258 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.4984 to the December average rate of 25.0847, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 25.4074 was down 12.87% compared to the 2011 peak of 29.1618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 127,037 UGX

2011 Average 125,217 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 108,908 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,128.83 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

25.3792

21.8443

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.8211, compared to 23.5144 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.8211

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 23.5144

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 1.5808 UGX (High: 23.3625 / Low: 21.7816). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4788 UGX (High: 25.4074 / Low: 24.9286).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.5808

December Spread (Stable) ±0.4788

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.7596 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7596

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 25.0847) against the same month in 2011 (average: 23.3477), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7369 (+7.44%).

2012 Avg (December) 25.0847

2011 Avg (December) 23.3477

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	23.1683	21.9615	22.4984
February	23.3625	21.7816	22.1918
March	24.1698	23.0146	23.4382
April	23.8778	23.2106	23.5267
May	23.6611	22.1854	22.7670
June	22.8285	22.2031	22.5046
July	22.6501	21.8089	22.1389
August	22.9887	22.1524	22.5013
September	23.6593	22.8665	23.3190
October	24.2068	23.5629	23.9859
November	24.9661	23.6159	24.0569
December	25.4074	24.9286	25.0847