2011 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

29.1618 UGX

YEARLY LOW

21.8821 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

25.0302 UGX

2011 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 29.1618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 21.8821.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2797 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.4289 to the December average rate of 23.3477, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 29.1618 was up 25.22% compared to the 2010 peak of 23.2888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 145,809 UGX

2010 Average 104,800 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 109,410 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,398.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

28.8133

21.8485

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.7650, compared to 26.2955 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.5305 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.7650

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.2955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 3.1143 UGX (High: 27.2948 / Low: 24.1805). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7903 UGX (High: 23.2958 / Low: 22.5055).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.1143

February Spread (Stable) ±0.7903

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.4740 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4740

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 28.2329) against the same month in 2010 (average: 21.1028), the exchange rate shifted by +7.1302 (+33.79%).

2011 Avg (August) 28.2329

2010 Avg (August) 21.1028

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	23.0567	21.8821	22.4289
February	23.2958	22.5055	22.9527
March	24.3583	23.4477	23.9524
April	24.8402	23.7554	24.2190
May	24.8971	23.7091	24.1824
June	27.2948	24.1805	24.8545
July	26.8823	26.0153	26.4371
August	29.1618	26.7816	28.2329
September	28.6556	27.0085	27.6290
October	28.2669	25.4477	27.3001
November	25.6746	24.0336	24.8261
December	24.6620	22.2641	23.3477