2016 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.6749 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.3670 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

27.5337 UGX

2016 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 28.6749. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 26.3670.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3079 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.1078 to the December average rate of 28.0769, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 28.6749 was down 4.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 29.9702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 143,374 UGX

2015 Average 128,668 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 131,835 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,539.41 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

28.3663

26.9494

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.2886, compared to 27.7787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4902 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.2886

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.7787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.5876 UGX (High: 28.1554 / Low: 26.5678). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2513 UGX (High: 27.8008 / Low: 27.5495).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.5876

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2513

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.4248 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4248

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 28.0769) against the same month in 2015 (average: 26.6086), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4683 (+5.52%).

2016 Avg (December) 28.0769

2015 Avg (December) 26.6086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	27.4639	26.6039	27.1078
February	28.1554	26.5678	27.4923
March	27.5755	26.3670	27.0674
April	27.6303	26.9891	27.3285
May	27.6156	27.1171	27.3338
June	27.7264	27.1583	27.4017
July	27.6333	27.2124	27.3944
August	27.9379	27.3084	27.6543
September	27.7724	27.4175	27.6202
October	27.8008	27.5495	27.6784
November	28.4794	27.9593	28.2482
December	28.6749	27.5530	28.0769