2013 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

26.0511 UGX

YEARLY LOW

23.3668 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

24.4851 UGX

2013 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 26.0511. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 23.3668.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6843 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.5480 to the December average rate of 24.5528, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 26.0511 was up 2.53% compared to the 2012 peak of 25.4074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 130,255 UGX

2012 Average 115,856 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 116,834 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,421.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

25.7213

23.6413

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.5658, compared to 24.4044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1614 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.5658

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.4044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 1.1965 UGX (High: 26.0511 / Low: 24.8546). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3865 UGX (High: 24.4735 / Low: 24.0870).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.1965

November Spread (Stable) ±0.3865

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.9845 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9845

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 25.4249) against the same month in 2012 (average: 22.1918), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2332 (+14.57%).

2013 Avg (February) 25.4249

2012 Avg (February) 22.1918

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.8219	25.2903	25.5480
February	26.0511	24.8546	25.4249
March	24.8204	23.7344	24.4405
April	24.2613	23.5357	23.9163
May	24.2630	23.3668	23.8147
June	24.6029	23.9674	24.2504
July	24.5626	23.7577	24.1350
August	24.8020	24.3250	24.5151
September	24.6724	24.2133	24.4117
October	24.8395	24.3112	24.5377
November	24.4735	24.0870	24.2740
December	24.8675	24.3846	24.5528