2015 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

29.9702 UGX

YEARLY LOW

21.8773 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

25.7180 UGX

2015 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 29.9702. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 21.8773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.0929 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.6981 to the December average rate of 26.6086, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 29.9702 was up 15.99% compared to the 2014 peak of 25.8388, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 149,851 UGX

2014 Average 123,151 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 109,387 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,464.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

30.1760

22.0515

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.6570, compared to 27.7789 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.1219 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.6570

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.7789

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 2.8755 UGX (High: 29.8152 / Low: 26.9397). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2999 UGX (High: 23.4331 / Low: 23.1332).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.8755

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2999

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.6558 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6558

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 29.2990) against the same month in 2014 (average: 24.3231), the exchange rate shifted by +4.9760 (+20.46%).

2015 Avg (October) 29.2990

2014 Avg (October) 24.3231

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	24.2475	22.9031	23.6981
February	23.4331	23.1332	23.2460
March	23.2252	21.8773	22.7285
April	23.7836	22.4740	23.0288
May	24.1949	23.3910	23.8483
June	26.5739	23.7652	25.3923
July	27.8605	25.7017	26.3696
August	29.8152	26.9397	28.2541
September	29.9037	29.2556	29.4989
October	29.9702	28.0346	29.2990
November	28.0550	25.6902	26.6433
December	27.4440	25.6028	26.6086