2018 ALL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

36.0970 UGX

YEARLY LOW

32.6358 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.4897 UGX

2018 ALL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ALL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 36.0970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 32.6358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4612 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.2527 to the December average rate of 34.2272, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 36.0970 was up 10.04% compared to the 2017 peak of 32.8035, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180,485 UGX

2017 Average 152,419 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 163,179 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,306.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

35.7504

33.0256

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.4650, compared to 34.5145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0495 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.4650

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.5145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.8321 UGX (High: 36.0133 / Low: 34.1812). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6515 UGX (High: 35.3684 / Low: 34.7168).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.8321

April Spread (Stable) ±0.6515

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6813 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6813

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 35.5233) against the same month in 2017 (average: 30.2766), the exchange rate shifted by +5.2468 (+17.33%).

2018 Avg (June) 35.5233

2017 Avg (June) 30.2766

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	33.9067	32.6358	33.2527
February	34.2982	33.3596	33.8599
March	34.9104	33.7004	34.3631
April	35.3684	34.7168	35.0831
May	35.0873	34.3971	34.7077
June	36.0970	34.9689	35.5233
July	36.0133	34.1812	34.8420
August	35.0141	33.7393	34.2470
September	35.5570	34.5362	35.0163
October	35.0794	34.1010	34.6665
November	34.5079	33.8382	34.0876
December	34.5614	33.8095	34.2272