2016 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

261.7769 UGX

YEARLY LOW

212.6209 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

231.8929 UGX

2016 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 261.7769. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 212.6209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 49.1560 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 254.1389 to the December average rate of 227.3288, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 261.7769 was down 33.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 394.5312, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,308,885 UGX

2015 Average 1,753,754 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,063,105 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 245,780.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

257.1527

220.9876

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 236.5163, compared to 227.2694 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.2469 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 236.5163

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 227.2694

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 33.2105 UGX (High: 246.7749 / Low: 213.5645). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.5271 UGX (High: 230.0275 / Low: 224.5005).

February Spread (Volatile) ±33.2105

August Spread (Stable) ±5.5271

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 22.0559 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -22.0559

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 254.1389) against the same month in 2015 (average: 331.7105), the exchange rate shifted by -77.5716 (-23.39%).

2016 Avg (January) 254.1389

2015 Avg (January) 331.7105

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	261.7769	245.7955	254.1389
February	246.7749	213.5645	232.0830
March	233.0831	212.6209	225.6493
April	238.0201	227.9154	232.2287
May	241.9871	232.4852	236.8384
June	243.7289	223.2442	238.1595
July	231.3583	223.6288	226.8913
August	230.0275	224.5005	227.2685
September	226.1917	220.6037	224.0013
October	228.3730	220.8584	225.9626
November	234.7630	228.6060	232.1640
December	231.2460	224.2610	227.3288

2016 இந்திய ரூபாய் முதல் பவுண்ட் வரையிலான வரலாற்று ஆய்வு