YEARLY HIGH
685.5224 UGX
YEARLY LOW
550.6067 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
611.1706 UGX

2011 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 685.5224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 550.6067.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 134.9156 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 585.3295 to the December average rate of 571.8305, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 685.5224 was up 17.01% compared to the 2010 peak of 585.8845, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,427,612 UGX
2010 Average 2,785,504 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,753,034 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 674,578.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

679.9121
562.0048
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 588.5797, compared to 633.7614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 45.1817 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 588.5797
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 633.7614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 75.9002 UGX (High: 685.5224 / Low: 609.6221). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.7757 UGX (High: 587.7731 / Low: 580.9974).

October Spread (Volatile) ±75.9002
May Spread (Stable) ±6.7757

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 58.2299 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -58.2299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 664.2118) against the same month in 2010 (average: 572.6453), the exchange rate shifted by +91.5664 (+15.99%).

2011 Avg (October) 664.2118
2010 Avg (October) 572.6453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 601.2621 572.3583 585.3295
February 592.8227 574.7907 583.8809
March 601.7864 587.5745 594.4299
April 588.6796 575.7046 583.6374
May 587.7731 580.9974 585.1322
June 652.0195 583.5897 599.0685
July 637.4519 617.8511 628.6747
August 676.5903 632.4051 661.7832
September 685.1283 660.7045 670.0865
October 685.5224 609.6221 664.2118
November 619.9989 588.3041 605.9818
December 595.5700 550.6067 571.8305