2011 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

685.5224 UGX

YEARLY LOW

550.6067 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

611.1706 UGX

2011 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 685.5224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 550.6067.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 134.9156 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 585.3295 to the December average rate of 571.8305, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 685.5224 was up 17.01% compared to the 2010 peak of 585.8845, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,427,612 UGX

2010 Average 2,785,504 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,753,034 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 674,578.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

679.9121

562.0048

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 588.5797, compared to 633.7614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 45.1817 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 588.5797

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 633.7614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 75.9002 UGX (High: 685.5224 / Low: 609.6221). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.7757 UGX (High: 587.7731 / Low: 580.9974).

October Spread (Volatile) ±75.9002

May Spread (Stable) ±6.7757

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 58.2299 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -58.2299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 664.2118) against the same month in 2010 (average: 572.6453), the exchange rate shifted by +91.5664 (+15.99%).

2011 Avg (October) 664.2118

2010 Avg (October) 572.6453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	601.2621	572.3583	585.3295
February	592.8227	574.7907	583.8809
March	601.7864	587.5745	594.4299
April	588.6796	575.7046	583.6374
May	587.7731	580.9974	585.1322
June	652.0195	583.5897	599.0685
July	637.4519	617.8511	628.6747
August	676.5903	632.4051	661.7832
September	685.1283	660.7045	670.0865
October	685.5224	609.6221	664.2118
November	619.9989	588.3041	605.9818
December	595.5700	550.6067	571.8305