YEARLY HIGH
4.6995 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.5608 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1306 UGX

2024 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 4.6995. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3.5608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1387 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6522 to the December average rate of 3.5926, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 4.6995 was down 77.68% compared to the 2023 peak of 21.0505, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,497 UGX
2023 Average 71,023 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,804 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,693.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

4.7582
3.4866
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4508, compared to 3.8103 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6405 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4508
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8103

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 0.1816 UGX (High: 4.2558 / Low: 4.0742). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0658 UGX (High: 3.7116 / Low: 3.6458).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1816
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0658

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1769 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1769

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 4.6421) against the same month in 2023 (average: 19.2284), the exchange rate shifted by -14.5863 (-75.86%).

2024 Avg (February) 4.6421
2023 Avg (February) 19.2284

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6967 4.6083 4.6522
February 4.6995 4.6056 4.6421
March 4.6702 4.5240 4.5788
April 4.5247 4.3484 4.4020
May 4.3638 4.2347 4.2772
June 4.2558 4.0742 4.1527
July 4.0671 3.9888 4.0184
August 4.0051 3.9099 3.9557
September 3.9098 3.8084 3.8646
October 3.7930 3.6948 3.7491
November 3.7116 3.6458 3.6816
December 3.6464 3.5608 3.5926