2012 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

590.7543 UGX

YEARLY LOW

531.3868 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

551.1052 UGX

2012 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 590.7543. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 17, dropping to 531.3868.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 59.3675 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 558.5396 to the December average rate of 547.9808, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 590.7543 was down 13.82% compared to the 2011 peak of 685.5224, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,953,771 UGX

2011 Average 3,056,781 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,656,934 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 296,837.50 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

573.1563

533.9884

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 557.9377, compared to 544.2726 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.6651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 557.9377

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 544.2726

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 40.7532 UGX (High: 576.6472 / Low: 535.8940). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.2149 UGX (High: 573.2945 / Low: 566.0796).

January Spread (Volatile) ±40.7532

April Spread (Stable) ±7.2149

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 21.2873 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -21.2873

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 569.8923) against the same month in 2011 (average: 594.4299), the exchange rate shifted by -24.5376 (-4.13%).

2012 Avg (March) 569.8923

2011 Avg (March) 594.4299

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	576.6472	535.8940	558.5396
February	561.6359	531.3868	537.2523
March	590.7543	563.2336	569.8923
April	573.2945	566.0796	569.4536
May	568.9862	553.9906	557.5009
June	561.5375	547.7693	554.9873
July	549.4466	541.3594	544.2551
August	546.1657	537.3940	541.2795
September	544.9167	534.8180	539.0597
October	551.7365	541.4704	546.4876
November	557.9111	541.2004	546.5731
December	556.1200	540.6604	547.9808