2013 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

551.4437 UGX

YEARLY LOW

386.2899 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

475.8298 UGX

2013 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 551.4437. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 386.2899.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 165.1539 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 542.3619 to the December average rate of 396.8317, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 551.4437 was down 6.65% compared to the 2012 peak of 590.7543, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,757,219 UGX

2012 Average 2,755,827 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,931,449 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 825,769.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

556.9149

382.2787

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 512.1346, compared to 439.5249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 72.6096 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 512.1346

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 439.5249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 25.1349 UGX (High: 411.4247 / Low: 386.2899). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.2384 UGX (High: 490.8519 / Low: 481.6134).

December Spread (Volatile) ±25.1349

June Spread (Stable) ±9.2384

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 22.8861 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -22.8861

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 542.3619) against the same month in 2012 (average: 558.5396), the exchange rate shifted by -16.1777 (-2.90%).

2013 Avg (January) 542.3619

2012 Avg (January) 558.5396

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	551.4437	534.4898	542.3619
February	536.0929	526.1829	531.0827
March	525.8565	506.0373	517.9937
April	506.8116	490.5589	500.3878
May	500.7243	490.4008	494.1128
June	490.8519	481.6134	486.8684
July	481.0356	469.6563	476.1420
August	469.6030	457.1907	462.3082
September	457.1695	442.3817	448.3180
October	441.3253	427.1413	433.8320
November	426.1860	411.3120	419.7178
December	411.4247	386.2899	396.8317