2018 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

197.8557 UGX

YEARLY LOW

92.6761 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

142.1113 UGX

2018 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 197.8557. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 92.6761.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 105.1796 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 191.6055 to the December average rate of 98.2619, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 197.8557 was down 17.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 239.9530, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 989,278 UGX

2017 Average 1,095,224 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 463,380 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 525,897.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

200.9398

88.9276

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 173.6073, compared to 110.6153 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 62.9920 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 173.6073

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 110.6153

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 39.1089 UGX (High: 136.2567 / Low: 97.1479). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6389 UGX (High: 183.3257 / Low: 180.6869).

August Spread (Volatile) ±39.1089

April Spread (Stable) ±2.6389

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 27.0164 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -27.0164

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 191.6055) against the same month in 2017 (average: 227.5788), the exchange rate shifted by -35.9733 (-15.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 191.6055

2017 Avg (January) 227.5788

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	197.8557	184.7836	191.6055
February	187.4446	180.2045	183.5576
March	183.3350	179.0900	180.8271
April	183.3257	180.6869	182.6163
May	179.7995	148.4979	158.7174
June	152.1143	134.2270	144.3198
July	138.5795	134.5942	136.0167
August	136.2567	97.1479	125.7125
September	102.7967	92.6761	98.6961
October	105.2511	96.8889	102.1098
November	105.9677	95.6857	102.8946
December	101.9853	96.3418	98.2619