2026 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7545 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.4111 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5832 UGX

2026 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 2.7545. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 2.4111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3433 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4626 to the December average rate of 2.4893, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2.7545 was down 23.10% compared to the 2025 peak of 3.5821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,772 UGX

2025 Average 14,743 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,056 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,716.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2.7119

2.4399

JanuMarcMayJuly

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5988, compared to 2.4893 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5988

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4893

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.1934 UGX (High: 2.6660 / Low: 2.4725). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0128 UGX (High: 2.6836 / Low: 2.6708).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1934

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1109 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 2.6892) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3.2760), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5867 (-17.91%).

2026 Avg (April) 2.6892

2025 Avg (April) 3.2760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5015	2.4111	2.4626
February	2.6224	2.4581	2.5333
March	2.7370	2.5465	2.6688
April	2.7545	2.6313	2.6892
May	2.6836	2.6708	2.6748
June	2.6660	2.4725	2.5640
July	2.5245	2.4485	2.4893