YEARLY HIGH
21.0505 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.6562 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.2368 UGX

2023 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 21.0505. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 4.6562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.3943 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.2861 to the December average rate of 6.9275, the exchange rate registered a net change of -65.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 21.0505 was down 39.05% compared to the 2022 peak of 34.5372, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 105,253 UGX
2022 Average 144,408 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 23,281 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 81,971.41 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

21.6220
5.5916
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.7431, compared to 10.7306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.0125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.7431
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.7306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 5.8901 UGX (High: 10.5463 / Low: 4.6562). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1534 UGX (High: 10.7686 / Low: 10.6153).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.8901
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1534

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.7683 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7683

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 20.2861) against the same month in 2022 (average: 33.9694), the exchange rate shifted by -13.6833 (-40.28%).

2023 Avg (January) 20.2861
2022 Avg (January) 33.9694

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 21.0505 19.7216 20.2861
February 19.8076 18.8906 19.2284
March 18.8282 18.0536 18.4534
April 18.0536 16.8657 17.3992
May 16.7678 15.6577 16.1555
June 15.6127 14.3019 14.9360
July 14.3084 13.1404 13.7869
August 13.1432 10.5590 11.5658
September 10.7686 10.6153 10.6858
October 10.8124 10.6549 10.7216
November 10.8116 10.5150 10.6957
December 10.5463 4.6562 6.9275