2021 ARS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

43.6257 UGX

YEARLY LOW

34.4985 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.8624 UGX

2021 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 43.6257. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 34.4985.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.1272 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.9747 to the December average rate of 34.9085, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 43.6257 was down 29.79% compared to the 2020 peak of 62.1370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 218,129 UGX

2020 Average 266,078 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 172,493 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,636.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

43.7814

34.1019

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.7778, compared to 35.9470 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.8308 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.7778

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.9470

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 1.7982 UGX (High: 40.0509 / Low: 38.2527). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4051 UGX (High: 36.1769 / Low: 35.7718).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.7982

September Spread (Stable) ±0.4051

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.6265 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6265

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 42.9747) against the same month in 2020 (average: 61.3879), the exchange rate shifted by -18.4132 (-29.99%).

2021 Avg (January) 42.9747

2020 Avg (January) 61.3879

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	43.6257	42.1578	42.9747
February	41.9891	40.7766	41.3482
March	40.6873	39.8040	40.2275
April	40.0509	38.2527	39.1431
May	38.4556	37.4846	37.7853
June	37.4833	36.9912	37.1879
July	37.1767	36.6740	36.9188
August	36.7296	36.1354	36.4127
September	36.1769	35.7718	35.9382
October	36.5437	35.6455	36.0746
November	35.6720	35.2008	35.4293
December	35.2982	34.4985	34.9085