YEARLY HIGH
3.0634 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.7925 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9257 DJF

2014 BTN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BTN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 3.0634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.7925.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2708 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8681 to the December average rate of 2.8420, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.0634 was down 8.44% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.3459, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,317 DJF
2013 Average 15,224 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 13,963 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,354.20 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.0294
2.8250
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9356, compared to 2.9158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9356
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.9158

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.1111 DJF (High: 2.9835 / Low: 2.8725). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0418 DJF (High: 2.9980 / Low: 2.9561).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1111
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0418

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0520 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0520

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 3.0124) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.2326), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2202 (-6.81%).

2014 Avg (May) 3.0124
2013 Avg (May) 3.2326

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8982 2.8273 2.8681
February 2.8829 2.8375 2.8613
March 2.9835 2.8725 2.9196
April 2.9837 2.9229 2.9599
May 3.0634 2.9598 3.0124
June 3.0254 2.9486 2.9924
July 2.9980 2.9561 2.9763
August 2.9646 2.9122 2.9383
September 2.9647 2.9016 2.9357
October 2.9278 2.8844 2.9087
November 2.9197 2.8719 2.8940
December 2.8900 2.7925 2.8420