YEARLY HIGH
2.6059 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.0808 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5294 DJF

2019 BTN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BTN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 11, valuing the pair at 2.6059. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 2.0808.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5250 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5074 to the December average rate of 2.5012, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.6059 was down 7.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.8236, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,029 DJF
2018 Average 13,031 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 10,404 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,625.18 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.6004
2.4826
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5416, compared to 2.5171 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0245 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5416
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5171

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.4813 DJF (High: 2.5621 / Low: 2.0808). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0287 DJF (High: 2.5745 / Low: 2.5458).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4813
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0787 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 2.5906) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.5914), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-0.03%).

2019 Avg (July) 2.5906
2018 Avg (July) 2.5914

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5621 2.0808 2.5074
February 2.5250 2.4828 2.5035
March 2.5956 2.5130 2.5622
April 2.5950 2.5347 2.5618
May 2.5681 2.5263 2.5519
June 2.5745 2.5458 2.5630
July 2.6059 2.5689 2.5906
August 2.5774 2.4765 2.5119
September 2.5223 2.4609 2.4996
October 2.5175 2.4875 2.5071
November 2.5180 2.4705 2.4924
December 2.5157 2.4821 2.5012