2021 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

40.9812 UGX

YEARLY LOW

36.1175 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

38.3534 UGX

2021 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 40.9812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 36.1175.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8637 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.5755 to the December average rate of 36.2775, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 40.9812 was up 1.04% compared to the 2020 peak of 40.5576, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204,906 UGX

2020 Average 191,294 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 180,587 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,318.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

41.0053

35.8477

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.4245, compared to 37.2824 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1421 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.4245

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.2824

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 2.1447 UGX (High: 39.2530 / Low: 37.1082). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4432 UGX (High: 36.5606 / Low: 36.1175).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.1447

December Spread (Stable) ±0.4432

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8244 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 40.5755) against the same month in 2020 (average: 36.9113), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6642 (+9.93%).

2021 Avg (January) 40.5755

2020 Avg (January) 36.9113

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.9812	40.1720	40.5755
February	40.2633	39.6047	40.0490
March	39.9468	38.7806	39.3362
April	39.4060	38.8259	39.1459
May	39.3812	38.5147	38.9515
June	39.2530	37.1082	38.4887
July	38.1450	37.5966	37.9092
August	38.1229	37.3057	37.7236
September	37.9086	37.1846	37.5956
October	38.2024	37.0784	37.5064
November	37.2505	36.1239	36.6820
December	36.5606	36.1175	36.2775

2021 இந்திய ரூபாய் முதல் பவுண்ட் வரையிலான வரலாற்று ஆய்வு