YEARLY HIGH
0.5125 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.4627 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4814 BAM

2016 AED to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AED to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.5125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.4627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0498 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4900 to the December average rate of 0.5056, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5125 was up 0.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5075, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,563 BAM
2015 Average 2,400 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,314 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 248.84 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5092
0.4660
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4771, compared to 0.4857 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0086 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4771
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4857

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0258 BAM (High: 0.5041 / Low: 0.4783). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 BAM (High: 0.4778 / Low: 0.4730).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0258
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0105 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0105

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.5056) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4885), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0171 (+3.49%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.5056
2015 Avg (December) 0.4885

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4941 0.4875 0.4900
February 0.4897 0.4709 0.4795
March 0.4899 0.4686 0.4783
April 0.4743 0.4655 0.4696
May 0.4791 0.4627 0.4713
June 0.4822 0.4675 0.4736
July 0.4850 0.4768 0.4812
August 0.4805 0.4702 0.4755
September 0.4778 0.4730 0.4753
October 0.4898 0.4741 0.4827
November 0.5041 0.4783 0.4937
December 0.5125 0.4954 0.5056