YEARLY HIGH
9.5018 BTN
YEARLY LOW
7.1734 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5479 BTN

2014 ARS to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 9.5018. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 7.1734.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3284 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9320 to the December average rate of 7.3461, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.5018 was down 20.79% compared to the 2013 peak of 11.9956, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,509 BTN
2013 Average 53,532 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 35,867 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,641.98 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.1024
7.0582
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8039, compared to 7.2919 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5119 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8039
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2919

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.6842 BTN (High: 9.5018 / Low: 7.8177). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0749 BTN (High: 7.4142 / Low: 7.3394).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.6842
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0749

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.0134 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0134

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 8.9320) against the same month in 2013 (average: 10.9814), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0494 (-18.66%).

2014 Avg (January) 8.9320
2013 Avg (January) 10.9814

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.5018 7.8177 8.9320
February 7.9985 7.8130 7.9186
March 7.8627 7.4746 7.6962
April 7.6310 7.4762 7.5398
May 7.5392 7.2440 7.3862
June 7.4259 7.2697 7.3504
July 7.4142 7.3394 7.3654
August 7.4265 7.1969 7.3220
September 7.3067 7.1734 7.2285
October 7.3038 7.1926 7.2411
November 7.2767 7.1893 7.2485
December 7.4651 7.2308 7.3461