YEARLY HIGH
3.4536 BTN
YEARLY LOW
1.7562 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5847 BTN

2018 ARS to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.4536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1.7562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6974 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3494 to the December average rate of 1.8690, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.4536 was down 20.91% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3664, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,268 BTN
2017 Average 19,719 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 8,781 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,486.77 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.4974
1.7210
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0798, compared to 2.0896 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9902 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0798
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0896

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7057 BTN (High: 2.5332 / Low: 1.8275). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0525 BTN (High: 3.2369 / Low: 3.1844).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7057
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0525

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4729 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4729

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.3494) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2855), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9361 (-21.84%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.3494
2017 Avg (January) 4.2855

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4536 3.2352 3.3494
February 3.2945 3.2068 3.2466
March 3.2369 3.1844 3.2167
April 3.3024 3.2077 3.2439
May 3.2131 2.7023 2.8734
June 2.6988 2.3706 2.5485
July 2.5195 2.3655 2.4871
August 2.5332 1.8275 2.3433
September 1.9479 1.7562 1.8703
October 2.0647 1.8457 1.9890
November 2.0692 1.8131 1.9787
December 1.9288 1.8330 1.8690