YEARLY HIGH
8.2711 DZD
YEARLY LOW
6.8838 DZD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.4240 DZD

2016 ARS to DZD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to DZD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 8.2711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 6.8838.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3873 DZD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9216 to the December average rate of 6.9955, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.2711 was down 27.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.4177, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,355 DZD
2015 Average 54,381 DZD
Yearly Trough Low 34,419 DZD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,936.63 DZD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.0142
6.9029
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DZD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6012, compared to 7.2468 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3544 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6012
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2468

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.7458 DZD (High: 8.0133 / Low: 7.2676). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1637 DZD (High: 7.3033 / Low: 7.1396).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7458
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1637

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7086 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7086

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.9216) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.3779), the exchange rate shifted by -2.4563 (-23.67%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.9216
2015 Avg (January) 10.3779

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.2711 7.7227 7.9216
February 7.6266 6.8838 7.2130
March 7.6072 6.9023 7.3527
April 7.7611 7.3152 7.5541
May 7.9390 7.6423 7.7725
June 8.0133 7.2676 7.7933
July 7.5702 7.3221 7.4156
August 7.4871 7.2617 7.3717
September 7.3272 7.1352 7.2356
October 7.3033 7.1396 7.2501
November 7.3686 7.0168 7.2124
December 7.1820 6.8915 6.9955