YEARLY HIGH
6.2287 DZD
YEARLY LOW
2.8651 DZD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4413 DZD

2018 ARS to DZD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to DZD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.2287. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.8651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3635 DZD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0115 to the December average rate of 3.1367, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.2287 was down 14.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.2833, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,143 DZD
2017 Average 33,568 DZD
Yearly Trough Low 14,326 DZD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,817.65 DZD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.3063
2.7685
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DZD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3956, compared to 3.4871 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9085 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3956
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4871

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.2930 DZD (High: 4.3341 / Low: 3.0411). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0868 DZD (High: 5.6662 / Low: 5.5794).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.2930
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0868

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9286 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9286

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.0115) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.9221), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9106 (-13.16%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.0115
2017 Avg (January) 6.9221

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.2287 5.7745 6.0115
February 5.8570 5.6509 5.7433
March 5.6662 5.5794 5.6381
April 5.6756 5.5879 5.6444
May 5.5502 4.6183 4.9374
June 4.6750 4.0668 4.3989
July 4.3287 4.0585 4.2607
August 4.3341 3.0411 3.9919
September 3.2024 2.8651 3.0633
October 3.3208 2.9953 3.2071
November 3.3541 3.0358 3.2628
December 3.2457 3.0882 3.1367