YEARLY HIGH
0.4555 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.3857 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4089 GEL

2011 ARS to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 0.4555. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.3857.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0698 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4514 to the December average rate of 0.3872, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.4555 was down 7.77% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4938, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,277 GEL
2010 Average 2,287 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 1,928 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 349.07 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.4578
0.3808
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4235, compared to 0.3944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0291 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4235
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.0194 GEL (High: 0.4209 / Low: 0.4015). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0021 GEL (High: 0.3965 / Low: 0.3944).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0194
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2011. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0172 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0172

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.4514) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.4497), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0017 (+0.37%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.4514
2010 Avg (January) 0.4497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4555 0.4462 0.4514
February 0.4499 0.4321 0.4413
March 0.4293 0.4199 0.4242
April 0.4209 0.4015 0.4095
May 0.4149 0.4018 0.4104
June 0.4077 0.4001 0.4042
July 0.4109 0.3983 0.4045
August 0.4024 0.3919 0.3962
September 0.3965 0.3944 0.3955
October 0.3971 0.3903 0.3933
November 0.3921 0.3873 0.3893
December 0.3910 0.3857 0.3872