2016 ARS to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1853 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.1521 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1603 GEL

2016 ARS to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1853. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 20, dropping to 0.1521.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0331 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1797 to the December average rate of 0.1675, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1853 was down 29.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2641, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 926 GEL

2015 Average 1,194 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 761 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 165.67 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1824

0.1503

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1622, compared to 0.1584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1622

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0202 GEL (High: 0.1764 / Low: 0.1562). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0021 GEL (High: 0.1543 / Low: 0.1522).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0202

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0117 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0117

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1797) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2054), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0257 (-12.50%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1797

2015 Avg (January) 0.2054

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1853	0.1742	0.1797
February	0.1764	0.1562	0.1680
March	0.1623	0.1541	0.1593
April	0.1598	0.1549	0.1568
May	0.1569	0.1521	0.1545
June	0.1587	0.1530	0.1551
July	0.1611	0.1537	0.1571
August	0.1598	0.1522	0.1562
September	0.1543	0.1522	0.1530
October	0.1575	0.1522	0.1551
November	0.1650	0.1585	0.1612
December	0.1774	0.1600	0.1675

2016 ARS నుండి GEL చారిత్రక సమీక్ష