YEARLY HIGH
5.0608 GMD
YEARLY LOW
2.9713 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4887 GMD

2015 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 5.0608. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 2.9713.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0895 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9964 to the December average rate of 3.5631, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.0608 was down 13.27% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.8352, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,304 GMD
2014 Average 24,644 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 14,856 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,447.48 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.1397
3.4197
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8725, compared to 4.1049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7676 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8725
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 1.1288 GMD (High: 4.1001 / Low: 2.9713). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0469 GMD (High: 4.8275 / Low: 4.7806).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.1288
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0469

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.5279 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5279

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 4.9680) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.8546), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1134 (+2.34%).

2015 Avg (February) 4.9680
2014 Avg (February) 4.8546

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0559 4.9138 4.9964
February 5.0608 4.9335 4.9680
March 4.9398 4.8791 4.9018
April 4.9282 4.8188 4.8594
May 4.8275 4.7806 4.8053
June 4.7835 4.3467 4.7040
July 4.3869 4.3021 4.3365
August 4.3315 4.2495 4.2989
September 4.3623 4.1401 4.2058
October 4.1897 4.0716 4.1342
November 4.1331 4.0525 4.0910
December 4.1001 2.9713 3.5631