YEARLY HIGH
0.8582 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.6153 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7367 GMD

2020 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.8582. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.6153.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2429 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8541 to the December average rate of 0.6269, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.8582 was down 36.03% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.3415, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,291 GMD
2019 Average 5,344 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 3,077 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,214.37 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.8768
0.6042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7958, compared to 0.6775 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7958
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6775

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0323 GMD (High: 0.8233 / Low: 0.7910). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0103 GMD (High: 0.8582 / Low: 0.8479).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0323
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0289 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0289

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 0.8541) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.3249), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4708 (-35.54%).

2020 Avg (January) 0.8541
2019 Avg (January) 1.3249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8582 0.8479 0.8541
February 0.8479 0.8215 0.8329
March 0.8233 0.7910 0.8071
April 0.7912 0.7643 0.7782
May 0.7752 0.7520 0.7604
June 0.7510 0.7330 0.7424
July 0.7318 0.7157 0.7255
August 0.7158 0.6989 0.7077
September 0.6977 0.6794 0.6890
October 0.6794 0.6607 0.6676
November 0.6602 0.6371 0.6483
December 0.6356 0.6153 0.6269