YEARLY HIGH
1.2257 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.9309 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9880 MOP

2014 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.2257. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 0.9309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2948 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1504 to the December average rate of 0.9355, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.2257 was down 24.59% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.6254, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,129 MOP
2013 Average 7,334 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 4,655 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,474.00 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.1719
0.9140
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0250, compared to 0.9510 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0740 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0250
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9510

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.2271 MOP (High: 1.2257 / Low: 0.9986). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 MOP (High: 0.9991 / Low: 0.9973).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2271
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1338 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.1504) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.6131), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4627 (-28.68%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.1504
2013 Avg (January) 1.6131

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2257 0.9986 1.1504
February 1.0283 0.9981 1.0166
March 1.0171 0.9980 1.0087
April 0.9991 0.9973 0.9983
May 0.9994 0.9884 0.9936
June 0.9885 0.9806 0.9824
July 0.9834 0.9731 0.9792
August 0.9700 0.9503 0.9608
September 0.9562 0.9457 0.9496
October 0.9471 0.9371 0.9428
November 0.9401 0.9356 0.9380
December 0.9433 0.9309 0.9355