YEARLY HIGH
0.2188 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.1338 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1727 MOP

2019 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.2188. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 0.1338.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0850 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2162 to the December average rate of 0.1344, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2188 was down 50.00% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4377, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,094 MOP
2018 Average 1,541 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 669 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 425.01 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2244
0.1262
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1959, compared to 0.1495 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0465 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1959
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1495

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0479 MOP (High: 0.1820 / Low: 0.1341). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 MOP (High: 0.1350 / Low: 0.1338).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0479
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0330 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0330

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.2162) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4239), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2077 (-49.00%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.2162
2018 Avg (January) 0.4239

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2188 0.2137 0.2162
February 0.2176 0.2039 0.2109
March 0.2030 0.1843 0.1960
April 0.1944 0.1764 0.1877
May 0.1820 0.1786 0.1803
June 0.1899 0.1798 0.1846
July 0.1940 0.1837 0.1898
August 0.1820 0.1341 0.1567
September 0.1461 0.1357 0.1426
October 0.1402 0.1348 0.1382
November 0.1357 0.1345 0.1351
December 0.1350 0.1338 0.1344