YEARLY HIGH
15.2430 NPR
YEARLY LOW
11.4901 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.0929 NPR

2014 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 15.2430. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 11.4901.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7529 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.2982 to the December average rate of 11.7523, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 15.2430 was down 19.10% compared to the 2013 peak of 18.8428, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,215 NPR
2013 Average 85,628 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 57,451 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,764.43 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

14.5688
11.3216
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5002, compared to 11.6857 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8145 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5002
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6857

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.7385 NPR (High: 15.2430 / Low: 12.5045). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0775 NPR (High: 11.6544 / Low: 11.5769).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.7385
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0775

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.6253 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 14.2982) against the same month in 2013 (average: 17.5478), the exchange rate shifted by -3.2496 (-18.52%).

2014 Avg (January) 14.2982
2013 Avg (January) 17.5478

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.2430 12.5045 14.2982
February 12.8111 12.5044 12.6729
March 12.6166 11.9553 12.3342
April 12.1979 11.9546 12.0770
May 12.0733 11.6052 11.8536
June 11.8684 11.6376 11.7653
July 11.8583 11.7386 11.8009
August 11.8807 11.5385 11.7349
September 11.7000 11.4901 11.5922
October 11.6902 11.5045 11.6098
November 11.6544 11.5769 11.6240
December 11.9788 11.5391 11.7523