YEARLY HIGH
11.9037 NPR
YEARLY LOW
8.0232 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.1418 NPR

2015 ARS to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 11.9037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 8.0232.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8805 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.6049 to the December average rate of 9.5733, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 11.9037 was down 21.91% compared to the 2014 peak of 15.2430, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,518 NPR
2014 Average 60,459 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 40,116 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,402.35 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

11.8081
9.3702
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3989, compared to 10.8846 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5143 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3989
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.8846

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 2.9746 NPR (High: 10.9978 / Low: 8.0232). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1250 NPR (High: 11.2024 / Low: 11.0774).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.9746
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.4463 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4463

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 11.6049) against the same month in 2014 (average: 14.2982), the exchange rate shifted by -2.6932 (-18.84%).

2015 Avg (January) 11.6049
2014 Avg (January) 14.2982

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.9037 11.3558 11.6049
February 11.5104 11.3462 11.4368
March 11.5101 11.2985 11.3952
April 11.3778 11.1892 11.2964
May 11.5006 11.2666 11.3800
June 11.3589 11.1269 11.2803
July 11.2024 11.0774 11.1360
August 11.4825 11.0557 11.2531
September 11.4464 11.1467 11.3144
October 11.1641 10.9124 11.0114
November 11.1247 10.9427 11.0196
December 10.9978 8.0232 9.5733