YEARLY HIGH
57.7601 RWF
YEARLY LOW
48.5025 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
52.8927 RWF

2016 ARS to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 57.7601. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 48.5025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.2576 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 55.2472 to the December average rate of 52.1064, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 57.7601 was down 28.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 81.3458, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 288,801 RWF
2015 Average 386,457 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 242,512 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,288.24 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

55.6851
50.4295
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 52.9899, compared to 52.7955 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1945 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 52.9899
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 52.7955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 7.5386 RWF (High: 56.4193 / Low: 48.8807). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6953 RWF (High: 54.7073 / Low: 53.0120).

June Spread (Volatile) ±7.5386
May Spread (Stable) ±1.6953

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.2183 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 55.2472) against the same month in 2015 (average: 80.4227), the exchange rate shifted by -25.1755 (-31.30%).

2016 Avg (January) 55.2472
2015 Avg (January) 80.4227

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 57.7601 53.7067 55.2472
February 53.4060 48.5025 51.0289
March 52.4307 48.5033 50.8675
April 54.4372 51.0927 52.9224
May 54.7073 53.0120 53.8914
June 56.4193 48.8807 53.9823
July 53.0300 50.0489 51.7955
August 54.9233 52.5391 53.4495
September 53.9317 52.0769 53.0767
October 53.9921 52.0856 53.1023
November 54.5165 51.8195 53.2424
December 53.8047 51.1080 52.1064