YEARLY HIGH
46.6890 RWF
YEARLY LOW
21.0425 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
33.1378 RWF

2018 ARS to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 46.6890. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 21.0425.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.6464 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.9381 to the December average rate of 23.3587, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 46.6890 was down 15.95% compared to the 2017 peak of 55.5484, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 233,445 RWF
2017 Average 253,966 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 105,213 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 128,232.02 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

47.1569
20.5311
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.4352, compared to 25.8403 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.5949 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.4352
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 25.8403

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 9.1993 RWF (High: 31.9304 / Low: 22.7312). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7072 RWF (High: 42.9465 / Low: 42.2393).

August Spread (Volatile) ±9.1993
March Spread (Stable) ±0.7072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.6589 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6589

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 44.9381) against the same month in 2017 (average: 52.1765), the exchange rate shifted by -7.2384 (-13.87%).

2018 Avg (January) 44.9381
2017 Avg (January) 52.1765

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.6890 43.0124 44.9381
February 43.8280 42.2828 43.0446
March 42.9465 42.2393 42.5272
April 42.9924 42.0721 42.6228
May 41.8024 34.7075 36.8867
June 35.0524 29.7701 32.5918
July 32.1364 29.9847 31.4793
August 31.9304 22.7312 29.4088
September 23.9092 21.0425 22.7499
October 24.6280 22.2508 23.6877
November 25.0304 22.6191 24.3573
December 24.2272 22.9406 23.3587