YEARLY HIGH
1032.0860 CDF
YEARLY LOW
930.6735 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
978.0385 CDF

2018 BGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 1032.0860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 930.6735.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 101.4125 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 998.8497 to the December average rate of 945.5401, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1032.0860 was up 3.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 996.7267, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,160,430 CDF
2017 Average 4,229,587 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,653,367 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 507,062.54 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1027.1988
935.3905
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 998.2315, compared to 957.8454 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 40.3861 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 998.2315
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 957.8454

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 61.2331 CDF (High: 1020.3150 / Low: 959.0819). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.0910 CDF (High: 1028.5926 / Low: 1014.5015).

January Spread (Volatile) ±61.2331
March Spread (Stable) ±14.0910

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 36.9279 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -36.9279

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1017.1176) against the same month in 2017 (average: 692.5644), the exchange rate shifted by +324.5532 (+46.86%).

2018 Avg (February) 1017.1176
2017 Avg (February) 692.5644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1020.3150 959.0819 998.8497
February 1032.0860 1002.0793 1017.1176
March 1028.5926 1014.5015 1019.5481
April 1023.2069 996.9486 1013.3766
May 989.6003 953.8068 976.4488
June 975.0165 955.1590 964.0482
July 994.2256 933.1088 968.5248
August 983.7447 942.1587 959.6055
September 987.8442 964.8523 974.1961
October 968.6017 938.0480 956.1647
November 958.6420 930.6735 943.0412
December 958.2485 931.4973 945.5401