YEARLY HIGH
21.3398 RUB
YEARLY LOW
19.6064 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.3918 RUB

2012 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 4, valuing the pair at 21.3398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 19.6064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7335 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.6652 to the December average rate of 20.5959, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 21.3398 was down 4.59% compared to the 2011 peak of 22.3675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 106,699 RUB
2011 Average 104,499 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 98,032 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,667.39 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

21.1551
19.6617
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.2724, compared to 20.5111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2387 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.2724
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.5111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.3549 RUB (High: 21.1151 / Low: 19.7602). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2087 RUB (High: 19.9366 / Low: 19.7279).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.3549
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6338 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 21.0306) against the same month in 2011 (average: 20.5677), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4629 (+2.25%).

2012 Avg (June) 21.0306
2011 Avg (June) 20.5677

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 21.2825 20.2507 20.6652
February 20.3218 19.9079 20.1423
March 20.0439 19.6064 19.7862
April 19.9366 19.7279 19.8138
May 21.1151 19.7602 20.1962
June 21.3398 20.7326 21.0306
July 21.0429 19.8994 20.3969
August 20.8158 19.9338 20.2317
September 20.8044 20.4405 20.6259
October 20.7959 20.5017 20.6343
November 20.7620 20.4526 20.5822
December 20.8241 20.3447 20.5959